A large-scale nutrient analysis on a cohort of 208,312 people showed: it's not the total amount of protein, fat or carbs, but their quality and origin, that determines mortality risk. Plant nutrients and natural carbohydrates were protective, while free sugars and high-energy-density food were associated with higher all-cause mortality.
The researchers ran a nutrient-wide association study (NWAS) on data from UK Biobank โ Britain's largest biobank. The analysis covered 208,312 participants aged 40โ69 with data from a 24-hour dietary recall. Associations between nutrients and mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models.
Mortality was analyzed across five categories: all causes, cancer, diseases of the nervous system, digestive disorders and cardiovascular conditions. Dozens of nutrients came under the lens โ macro- and micronutrients, including different classes of proteins, fats, carbohydrates, vitamins and minerals.
Key finding: total intake of protein, fat or carbohydrates showed no significant associations with mortality. What mattered was the type of nutrient โ its chemical nature and its source.
| Nutrient / group | Association with mortality |
|---|---|
| Plant protein and plant fats | โ Lower risk |
| Natural carbohydrates (starch, lactose) | โ Lower risk |
| Dietary fiber | โ Lower risk |
| Copper, manganese, iron | โ Lower risk |
| Vitamin E, riboflavin (B2), biotin (B7), pantothenic acid (B5) | โ Lower risk |
| Free and refined sugars | โ Higher risk |
| High dietary energy density | โ Higher risk (all causes) |
Notably, animal protein on its own was neutral โ the study found no harm from it. The negative picture is created specifically by refined carbohydrates and calorie-dense food with low nutritional value.
The data turns abstract recommendations into concrete food choices:
โ This is a preprint โ a scientific paper posted on Research Square before going through independent expert review. Conclusions may change after peer review. Do not make medical or dietary decisions based solely on this study without consulting a specialist.
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